Thursday, June 27, 2019

Arizona football’s over/under win total opens at 7

Time to run your bookie out of business

The Arizona Wildcats finished a disappointing 5-7 last season, but bookmakers believe there will be a slight improvement in 2019. FanDuel has now opened the over/under win total for Arizona at 7.

The odds for both the over and under are at -108, meaning a $100 bet on Arizona to would net you a winnings of $92.

Arizona has a slightly more difficult schedule this year than last especially when it comes to road games. The Pac-12 looks to be down once again this season, which should give a sense of hope for a bowl win type of season.

The line opening at seven seems pretty fair, but the initial reaction would be to hit the under. Of course that is also an emotional hedge, where you can profit if they do go under or if they hit over seven wins then that should be seen as a good year.

The rest of the Pac-12 over/under and odds are as follows

  • Washington — 9.5 (Over -124, Under -124)
  • Utah — 9 (Over -114, Under -102)
  • Oregon — 9 (Over +102, Under -120)
  • Washington State — 8.5 (Over +102, Under -120)
  • Arizona State — 7.5 (Over +125, Under -145)
  • USC — 6.5 (Over -114, Under -102)
  • Stanford — 6.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
  • California — 6 (Over -102, Under -114)
  • UCLA — 5.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
  • Colorado — 4.5 (Over -108, Under -108)
  • Oregon State — 2.5 (Over +130, Under -155)

Washington at 9.5 seems a little rich even with their garbage non-conference schedule. They have stockpiled talent but lose a lot of their key pieces on both sides of the ball.

Utah is always competitive but it’s hard to imagine them piecing together a 10-win season.

Oregon at nine seems like a tough draw as well, even though they have the talent to compete, there’s just that sense that they’re a touch overrated.

Washington State seems like a very good bet to go over, especially with a chance at some plus money. There’s actually a good chance at the Cougars winning the north when assessing the landscape of conference.

Herm Edwards pulled out a pretty decent season in year one, but they just have too much offense to replace. Seven seems like an appropriate total for them. Of course, you can always go for the emotional bet like myself and bet the over, making this another emotional hedge.

USC at 6.5 shows that there’s not a lot of confidence in the Trojans and Clay Helton and for good reason. But 6.5 seems a but low, even with their schedule, and I have to go over.

Stanford at 6.5 seems low once again and at this point I’d bank on Shaw putting together a respectable season.

Cal has a bit of a tough schedule with Ole Miss thrown in there. They’ve been on the rise and I don’t have a lot of confidence in the North but I’ll have to go under here.

Year one for Chip Kelly was not pleasant, and 5.5 is essentially saying they’ll miss bowl season for the second year in a row. They have a pretty tough draw in non-conference with Cincinnati, SDSU and Oklahoma, and there’s a good chance they lose all three. This is a toss up but I guess I’ll take the under at 5.

Perhaps some new coach smell here with Colorado at 4.5, I just can’t see them being a win away from bowl eligibility.

Oregon State getting whacked with 2.5, I think they’ll hit the under.

As a refresher here is Arizona’s schedule:

  • at Hawaii
  • Bye
  • NAU
  • Texas Tech
  • UCLA
  • at Colorado
  • Washington
  • at USC
  • at Stanford
  • Oregon State
  • Bye
  • at Oregon
  • Utah
  • at ASU


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